Market Commentary

/Market Commentary

Trump – calmer reflection, and opportunities

“The problems of victory are more agreeable than those of defeat, but they are no less difficult” (Winston Churchill) A large number of voters want change, and that is the Trump mandate – change. That [...]

Trump slump or boom? UK investor implications

The “Brexit effect” has continued across the Atlantic.  In the US, the alienated have again triumphed over the uninspired and the self-interested. It is important that UK investors understand the implications: The Trump mandate is [...]

UK stock market – both swirling risks and opportunities

We probably spend more time reviewing the UK stock market than any other because it is the largest holding for most clients, and the UK economy drives their employment and broader financial prospects.  Here is [...]

What is helicopter money? (Part II)

In the last few days Japan has announced a $45bn package of what is effectively “helicopter money”. In coming months we hope (pray!?) for similar in the UK. Here’s how it might work. Emergency action [...]

What is helicopter money? (Part I)

Helicopter money is coming.  This is a very significant change which will have a huge impact for years to come.  Here we explain what it is.  For those in the UK over age 40 it [...]

Of Russia, Versailles, and cheap UK equities

Whether your investment choices make any money, and how much, will be driven by a mix of valuation and confidence.   Russian equities are an extreme example.  They are ridiculously cheap, at a 50% discount [...]

Property Funds Update: Panic, Herding, and Opportunity

“Property funds in turmoil” screams the Guardian headline today.  This is nonsense.  Here is some perspective. First some high level observations. After the Brexit vote stock markets fell sharply but quickly regained their poise.  The [...]

Brexit: Investment implications of Democratic Hooliganism

A summary of the investment implications, with an emphasis on the opportunities, is set out below. A quick recap... In January 2011 (TopFunds Guide) I said: “There is a race, with the bureaucrats and politicians [...]

FTSE at 5000?

With the possibility of Brexit rising, it is a good time to review where the UK market might head next, so we aren’t too scared and can prepare to pick up bargains. I invariably start [...]

Opportunities on Brexit

With Brexit using up most of investors' brain power it's worth taking a moment to pause and remember that Brexit isn't the only game in town. There are other clouds on the horizon. What they [...]